Mixed Energy Module.doc

Mixed Energy Module Description: It is a module of energy system ( from the exploitation of energy, the transformation, transportation, marketing to final energy demand). It predicts the supply capability, prices, demand and macroeconomic parameters of energy by system stimulation, in order to give information support for our country in energy policies and decision making. Thus, both the macroeconomic module (form the top to the bottom) and energy demand and supply module (form the bottom to the top) are included in this model. This module is a simulation of the entire energy-economy-environment system, which is complex and huge. Global, regional or national aspects are included in the study while in the structure, aspects such as economy, supply, transformation, demand, environment are included in this comprehensive and integrated model. Currently, the study and application of this module is relatively rare in China since this complex project can only be done with the guarantee of sufficient professional researchers and time due to the wide range of technologies and fields involved in this module. Typical Mixed Energy Modules are the NEMS module developmed by DOE and IIASA-WEC E3 module codeveloped by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis(IIASA) and the World Energy Council(WEC). 表4 典型综合模型的特点 Table4. The feature of Mixed Energy Model Typical Modules Develop Study Method Advantages Shortcomings NEMS EIA/DOE of America 线性规划理论;非线性规划理论;混合整数规划方法;计量经济学方法 综合了上述两种模型的优点,既充分考虑技术选择的成本,又考虑了价格弹性的作用,是对整个能源系统的模拟和分析;便于进行更详尽的能源经济分析;研究范围多是全球的、区域或国家的;功能比较齐全,结构比较复杂,是对现实能源系统进行模拟和仿真的复杂巨系统 数据获取比较困难 Hard to gain data IIASA-WEC E3 IIASA and WEC PRIMES JOULE/EU POLES MIDAS 1．NEMS 最具代表性的混合能源模型是NEMS (National Energy Modeling Systems)模型，由美国EIA/DOE于1993年开发的能源经济区域模型。NEMS综合考虑了宏观经济、财政因素、世界能源市场、资源可获得性和成本、行为和技术选择标准、能源技术的成本和运行特性以及人口统计资料，反应了能源的生产、进口、转化、消费以及价格的情况。但从文献上看，用“NEMS模型”当做关键词在期刊网上检索，没有一篇文献 。 （1）NEMS的功能 EIA把NEMS用来模拟在美国能源政策和能源市场上不同假设下的能源、经济