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Detachment, Probability, and Maximum Likelihood
Gilbert Harman
Noûs, Vol. 1, No. 4. (Dec., 1967), pp. 401-411.
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/sici?sici=0029-4624291%3A4%3C401%3ADPAML%3E2.0.CO%3B2-S
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Sat May 12 00:32:38 2007
Detachment, Probability, and
Maximum Likelihood
GILBERTHARMAN
PRINCETON UNIVERSITY
When can we detach probability quaMcations from our in-
ductive conclusions? The following rule may seem plausible:
If the probability of h on the total evidence is at least N-1/N,
infer h.
However, what has been called the lottery paradox shows that we
cannot accept this rule if we also accept the usual principles of
deductive logic. For it would a
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